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Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Yen and Commodities

People draw correlations where there are none, at least not consistently.
While Yen and Gold have had a buxom buddy friendship of late, they were not always joint at the hip, or the boobies.

Between 2001 and 2008 the Yen Index was up 7%, while commodities (as defined by CRB) had their biggest 8 year rally.
Oil was up 14 fold during this time.
In 2008-2009 Yen had a big spike and was up 20% while commodities crashed.
Between 2009 and 2012, Yen Index went up another 15% while oil moved from $35 to $100 and most commodities did very well.
Between 2012 and mid 2014 Yen Index went down 20% and commodities stayed flat.
Between late 2014 and 2016 Yen index went down another 15% and commodities crashed.

I dare you to find the correlation between Yen and the CRB from the above data.